PSG vs Arsenal: Champions League Semi-Final Second Leg Preview, Odds, and Key Talking Points

Champions League Showdown: PSG vs Arsenal at Parc des Princes

This year's Champions League semi-final between PSG vs Arsenal is shaping up to be a real nail-biter. With PSG holding a narrow 1-0 advantage after a cagey first leg in London, the stakes couldn’t be higher for the return game at Parc des Princes on Wednesday, May 7. Kick-off is at 3:00 p.m. EDT, and the winner grabs a spot in the final against Inter Milan.

PSG’s late winner in the first leg came courtesy of their talisman Kylian Mbappé, turning the pressure firmly onto Arsenal's shoulders. The Gunners haven't had to come back from a first-leg deficit in this competition before, so they’re heading into uncharted territory. PSG, meanwhile, have the psychological edge—not just from their away win but also from ending a six-game stretch without a win over Arsenal.

Team News, Form, and What to Watch

All eyes will be on the team sheets an hour before kick-off. PSG will unleash a full-strength lineup, with the love-it-or-hate-it flair of Mbappé up front and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia—signed for his dribbling and finishing—looking to cause Arsenal even more headaches. Kvaratskhelia is rated at +210 to score, and fans see him as a real danger in these big matches.

Arsenal, by contrast, have had to patch things up at the back thanks to injuries, but the possible return of Thomas Partey offers a glimmer of hope. Mikel Arteta could bring to the midfield the sort of balance that might prevent PSG from running wild in transition—though Arsenal know that pushing too hard for a goal opens up counterattack opportunities.

Recent trends don’t make pretty reading for Arsenal fans. The club hasn’t won in France in their last two visits—losing to Rennes and Lens—and both their trips to Parc des Princes have ended in 1-1 draws. That’s a result that would suit PSG just fine this time around.

PSG’s domestic form isn’t the main story here. They’ve dropped points in Ligue 1 recently, but that’s been with rotated squads and eyes clearly on this European prize. Arsenal, though, are coming into this under a cloud, having lost back-to-back matches (including that frustrating Bournemouth defeat in the Premier League). If Partey can steady the ship, that trend could turn, but it's a tall order at the Parc.

• Mbappé and Kvaratskhelia—both key threats for PSG
• Partey’s return for Arsenal—massive boost for midfield control
• Home record and recent scorelines set up a potentially tight, tactical contest

On tactics, expect PSG coach Luis Enrique to show a controlled approach. They don’t need to go gung-ho—control possession, slow the tempo, strike on the break. Arsenal are expected to play more aggressively, but that means they can't afford many mistakes at the back, especially with Kvaratskhelia and Mbappé lurking for any slip-ups. Set-pieces and keeping transitions tight will be vital if Arsenal want to turn this tie around.

The oddsmakers like PSG at +110, with the draw getting a fair bit of action at +235 for an Arsenal win. The over/under sits at 2.5 goals, but plenty of punters are siding with the under (+115), expecting a chess match rather than a firefight. According to recent Opta projections, PSG has a 45.4% shot at winning outright at home; Arsenal’s chances are pegged at 30%, while the draw is 24.6%.

For anyone looking to make it interesting, watch out for popular bets like PSG to win, under 2.5 goals, or Kvaratskhelia to get on the scoresheet. Some are betting on Arsenal to dig deep and at least force extra time, so the double-chance market (Arsenal/Draw at -160) is getting attention, too. As the whistle approaches, all signs point to a classic European dogfight—with little margin for error for either side.